Sunday, August 12, 2007

One of the Great Thinkers Has an Unpopular Thought

Edge: HERETICAL THOUGHTS ABOUT SCIENCE AND SOCIETY By Freeman Dyson Freeman Dyson is one of the great thinkers of our time. He postulated the creation of a Dyson Sphere (made briefly famous due to an episode of Star Trek: The Next Generation). He doesn't think much of global warming.
My first heresy says that all the fuss about global warming is grossly exaggerated. Here I am opposing the holy brotherhood of climate model experts and the crowd of deluded citizens who believe the numbers predicted by the computer models. Of course, they say, I have no degree in meteorology and I am therefore not qualified to speak. But I have studied the climate models and I know what they can do.
The models do some things well. They do some things poorly
The real world is muddy and messy and full of things that we do not yet understand. It is much easier for a scientist to sit in an air-conditioned building and run computer models, than to put on winter clothes and measure what is really happening outside in the swamps and the clouds. That is why the climate model experts end up believing their own models.
But then he always has been willing to speak his mind. [Hat Tip]

No comments: